Sources for baseline inputs
- National Milk Council, 2026. Raw milk reference price TRY 24.30/L from 1 May 2026 (3.6% fat, 3.2% protein); the 16 July decision held it unchanged through October. https://www.haberturk.com/ekonomi/usk-cig-sutun-fiyatini-sabit-birakti-3899072
- TZOB, 2026. Union of Turkish Chambers of Agriculture: September 2026 average dairy feed price TRY 20,434/tonne, announced 1 October 2026; cited via a secondary source. https://www.devletdestekli.com/tarim-kredi-yem-fiyatlari-2026-guncel-liste-50-kg-cuval/
- Minimum wage, 2026. 2026 gross minimum wage TRY 33,030; employer cost TRY 40,214/month for non-manufacturing with incentives. EY Türkiye. https://www.ey.com/tr_tr/insights/tax/2026-asgari-ucret
- Exchange rates, 2 October 2026. Free-market rates: USD 1 = TRY 49.15, EUR 1 = TRY 55.38. Bloomberg HT. https://www.bloomberght.com/dolar-ne-kadar-oldu-2-ekim-2026-dolar-kurunda-son-durum-ne-pkh2-3790079
- CCF Bank, 2025. USD 150,000–230,000 per robot; 50–70 cows per robot; annual service contracts from several thousand to over USD 10,000 (13 August 2025). https://ccf.us/the-future-of-dairy-farming-a-deep-dive-into-the-financial-technical-components-of-robotic-milking-systems/
- Farmers Journal, 2024. Annual robot service costs: Lely approximately EUR 2,640–3,070; DeLaval service only EUR 4,800, full package EUR 13,750; GEA EUR 3,160–3,600 (7 August 2024). https://www.farmersjournal.ie/dairy/management/robot-wars-what-can-farmers-expect-to-pay-for-service-costs-829813
- Cogato et al., 2021. Cogato, A. et al. (2021). Challenges and tendencies of automatic milking systems (AMS): A 20-years systematic review. Animals, 11(2), 356. Milk-yield increases of 2–12% citing Jacobs and Siegford (2012); some studies found no increase. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7912558
- Shortall et al., 2016. Shortall et al. (2016). J. Dairy Sci. 99, 7700–7713. 36% lower labour requirement; 5% interest; milking equipment depreciated over 10 years. Paper reference pool. https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2016-11256
- Bijl et al., 2007. Bijl et al. (2007). J. Dairy Sci. 90, 239–248. 29% lower labour on robotic farms. Paper reference pool. https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(07)72625-5
- Salfer et al., 2017. Salfer et al. (2017). J. Dairy Sci. 100, 7739–7749. Useful life of at least 13 years for sustained positive outcomes. Paper reference pool. https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2016-11976
- Rotz et al., 2003. Rotz et al. (2003). J. Dairy Sci. 86, 4167–4177. Scenario with a sustained 5% milk-yield increase. Paper reference pool. https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(03)74032-6
- Benz et al., 2024. Benz et al. (2024). agricultural engineering.eu 79(2). Milking accounts for more than one quarter of total labour. Paper reference pool. https://doi.org/10.15150/ae.2024.3309
- Rutten et al., 2014. Rutten et al. (2014). J. Dairy Sci. 97, 6869–6887. Assumed detection rates: visual observation 50%, activity meter 80%. Paper reference pool. https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2014-7948
- Dolecheck et al., 2016. Dolecheck et al. (2016). J. Dairy Sci. 99, 10182–10193. Seven-year investment horizon and detection rates of 60–80%. Paper reference pool. https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2015-10364
- Mayo et al., 2020 (review). Economic viability of adoption of automated oestrus detection technologies on dairy farms: A review. Animals, 10(7), 1241. Activity-meter detection 80–90% citing Firk et al. (2002); visual observation at least three times daily for 20–30 minutes; 30% lower labour cost; payback commonly 3.5–8 years. https://www.mdpi.com/2076-2615/10/7/1241
- Dolecheck and Bewley, University of Kentucky. How much are you losing from extra days open? Producer and industry estimates: USD 3–5 per additional day open. https://afs.mgcafe.uky.edu/files/how_much_are_you_losing_from_extra_days_open.pdf
- Milkopro, 2026. Cow pedometer prices: EUR 155–300/cow for pedometer systems and EUR 180–250 for neck sensors. https://mlgram.com/inek-pedometre-fiyatlari/
- Actimoo sales listing, 2026. Actimoo heat monitoring package: 20 activity meters plus one reader TRY 400,000; additional activity meter TRY 18,000. https://magaza.benimsurum.com/actimoo-kizginlik-takip-sistemi-paket-20-aktivitemetre-1-okuyucu
- Edwardes et al., 2022. Edwardes et al. (2022). J. Dairy Sci. 105, 9682–9701. One minute per alert for verification in the system. Paper reference pool. https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2021-21726
- Discount rates in the literature. Shortall et al. (2016) 5%; Ettema et al. (2020) 5%; Pfrombeck et al. (2025) 4%; Tangorra and Calcante (2018) 3.5%. Paper reference pool.
Foreign-currency prices were converted at 2 October 2026 exchange rates (USD 1 = TRY 49.15, EUR 1 = TRY 55.38). Overseas prices may differ from Turkish supplier prices; obtain a local quotation.